The Faultline Revisited: Disruption in Video Delivery 2013-2023

This report is a prediction of disruptive technologies that will shape digital media and video delivery in the next 10 years.

The next generation of digital media could be determined by any number of potential changes in business or technology. Anticipating them is, by its very nature, something that is open to debate. In this report, we focus on six major issues that we reason will have the greatest effect on video infrastructure over the next 10 years.

This 63 page report argues that the following six areas will be the key drivers of change for the next ten years:

– TV will shift from free to air radio to over the internet streaming OTT (from wireless to wired);
– Cellular offload will make WiFi the leading wireless network (from fixed line to wireless);
– Some 75% of TV viewing will shift to tablets, savaging TV sales forever (from a non-smart shared device to a smart personal wireless device);
– Mass social viewing platforms will lead major motion picture releases (from a physical location shared experience to an online WiFi and cellular driven experience);
– TV Channel unbundling will see the death of 75% of TV channels (more content available OTT over WiFi and cellular driving this change);
– TV Everywhere will become the largest App on the planet (from fixed line to wireless delivery.

“Every business layer of video and content delivery is potentially threatened with oblivion”

The ‘faultline’ is so called because it locates the creaks, lurches and in some cases, entire collapses of the rich seams traditionally mined by media and technology companies. It states that during a period of technological change, the ownership of entire industries changes hands, as some companies try to support the status quo, whilst others embrace the change.

For the last ten years this faultline was about how music and video moved from being an analog delivery to a digital delivery. This change was at the heart of the ascent of Apple over previous consumer electronics giants such as Sony, Samsung, Toshiba and Panasonic. It contributed to the demise in importance of Microsoft and at the same time the rise of ARM architectures over Intel.

The “Faultline Revisited” report argues that the next change will be movements from wired to wireless delivery or in the case of broadcast TV, the other way around. What will typify pay TV video development over the next ten years is the move from largely fixed line delivery to almost exclusively wireless delivery, something that in some cases is already happening.

The digital media eco-system is therefore faced with a massive amount of disruption. So much so that every business layer of video and content delivery is potentially threatened with oblivion. The report, therefore, is vital reading for anyone in every business layer of video and content delivery that doesn’t want to be caught in the cross-fire and who wants to build a strategy to survive and thrive in the ensuing disruptive eco-system.

Who should read “Faultline Revisited – Disruption in Video Delivery from 2013 to 2023”?

This is essential research for content and rights’ owners in entertainment, publishing and music; Consumer Electronics device and component vendors; Pay TV operators, broadcasters, all types of network operators, telcos, cablecos, broadband carriers, satellite and IPTV operators, and equipment and software suppliers to these companies, including STB and encoder manufacturers, DRM specialists, handset makers, chip designers and sellers of advertising; apps and software developers; strategy formulators and buyers; consultants; financial analysts and any company with an interest in the future of content delivery.